Black Box Golf: RBC Canadian Open
A cracking 50-1 place in Russell Henley last week, getting there in the last couple of holes of the final round.
🏌️ RBC Canadian Open 2025 – Analytical Betting Preview
Course: Hamilton Golf & Country Club
Grass Type: Predominantly fescue and bentgrass mix, favouring creative shot-makers and strong ball-strikers.
Winning Score Trend: Typically low double-digits under par, with weather a key factor.
Defending Champion: Robert MacIntyre
🥇 Rory McIlroy – The Benchmark
At a venue where control, imagination, and confidence off the tee are key, Rory McIlroy fits the bill as the man to beat. A two-time Canadian Open champion (2019 & 2022), McIlroy’s record north of the border is outstanding:
T2 in SG: Tee to Green in 2025
Top 5 finishes in 7 of his last 10 starts
Ranked No. 2 in the OWGR
Has gained strokes in 11 straight starts with his driver
While his price reflects his dominance - 4-1 in most books - it's hard to oppose him outright. However, value is thin in the win market. He’s the class horse in the race, but from a betting perspective, it’s time to look for each-way angles and smart chasers.
💡 Value Bets
📈 Robert MacIntyre – 25/1 (each way)
✅ Defending champion
✅ Recent Scottish Open winner
✅ Elite links performer (Top-10s in multiple Open Championships)
✅ Course fit: Thrives on fescue/bentgrass, wind, and strategy
The left-handed Scot grew up shaping shots on hard turf and wind-swept fairways. He brings local-like knowledge to a layout that rewards feel players. MacIntyre has been quietly consistent in 2025, and this course + this surface + recent win = a powerful mix.
At 25/1 or better, he's one of the best value plays in the field.
📉 Sungjae Im – 30/1 (each way)
✅ Top-10 in Scottish Open and Open Championship in 2024
✅ Elite recent ball-striking numbers
✅ Calm temperament and improved links IQ
✅ 2 PGA Tour wins, trending toward a 3rd
Sungjae’s evolution into a well-rounded links player is flying under the radar. He was once uncomfortable on fescue setups — now he’s posting 63s at the Renaissance Club and grinding out top-10s at Troon.
His ability to hit fairways, stay composed in wind, and lean on a top-tier iron game puts him right in the mix at Hamilton. His game travels, and this field is not overly deep outside the elite few.
If Rory slips, Sungjae is one of the most likely to capitalise — especially if weather becomes a factor.
🎯 Final Bets
1 point ew Robert MacIntyre »> 25-1 Skybet and Paddy Power 1-2-3-4-5-6 places
1 point ew Sungjae Im »> 33-1 Skybet and Paddy Power 1-2-3-4-5-6 places
1 point win Rory McIlroy »> 9-2 Bet365 and Sky Bet