Black Box Racing: Monday 4th May 2025
Chester’s May meeting will come under the ratings, trends and indicators later in the week, but am going to start posting some value plays too. They’ll come from an angle I’ve been working on that aren’t strictly spreadsheet related and they’ll rely a lot on being able to access the markets the night before.
0.5 point ew BECKMAN 2.25 Curragh »> 12-1 generally
Last seen when 4th at Dundalk in a Listed event when meeting trouble in running. There he met two horses rated similarly to today’s fav Officer, and was arguably unlucky not to beat them. That level of form puts him well-in here and he should really be a 6-1 shot. Throw in a course win to his name and he’s simply overprice.
0.5 point ew BARNAVARA 3.35 Curragh »> 14-1 Skybet (4 places) or 16-1 William Hill and Ladbrokes
Ran like a filly needing the run at Leopardstown last time and has mainly been doing her running over 7f. Some good Group 2 form to her name and has also won over the course. But what gives me hope that she stays the mile strongly is that the filly was recently a NR in a Group event over 1m2f. The stable do really well with fillies and if able to dictate she could run a huge race. Easily a 9-1 shot or less come race time.