Black Box Racing: Steel Ally Overpriced
3.00 Fontwell on Sunday is the Grade 2 National Spirit Hurdle and if you can 7-1 with Bet365 or William Hill about STEEL ALLY then I suggest you have a bet. This very lightly-raced horse who is open to loads of improvement, especially on soft ground, will trade a fair bit shorter and should take some beating. Firstly, he won carrying 11-11 on soft ground over 2m3f at Haydock in the manner of a good horse the time before last. Secondly, ignore his last run, 1m7.5f around Ascot on g/s ground is not his bag and it was always going to be tricky. But back on soft ground and a trip, and the long straights at Fontwell, then he has to go close against a bunch of rivals who are exactly what it says on the tin - 150 horses. Thirdly, the stable is in red-hot form, with the big winner today and a 44% (4 wins from 9 runners) strike rate in the last 14 days. Whatever happens, you should definitely be able to trade out of the bet for a nice profit if you’re risk averse. I’ll be holding out for the win.
1 point win STEEL ALLY 3.00 Fontwell »> 7-1 Bet365 and William Hill (6-1 still plenty of value)